UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap
40Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLiverpoolGalatasaray
Shots32 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target16 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals5.02 xG/match0.18 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Hugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Galatasaray · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Liverpool · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Liverpool · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 62′ · 0.05 xG · goalAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 25′ · 0.08 xG · goalHugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 40′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.17 xG · goalIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 83′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Liverpool · 31′ · 0.19 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 50′ · 0.25 xG · on targetAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 68′ · 0.25 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 68′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 67′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.38 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.44 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 51′ · 0.46 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 29′ · 0.49 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 32 shots, 16 on target, 5.25 xG. Galatasaray: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.755.50′HT90′Dominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 25′Hugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 51′Ryan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 53′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 5.25 xG · Galatasaray 0.17 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.6 shots/matchShotsLiverpool · Galatasaray13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolGalatasarayBaseline
Shots20.6 shots/match13 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against8.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

26.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season20.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots26.8 shots/match20.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

weak

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Liverpool
0Draws
2Galatasaray
GalatasarayLiverpool · UEFA Champions League10
GalatasarayLiverpool · UEFA Champions League10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 0 · 3 too close

2.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/121.25 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/121.67 goals/match
2.76 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/121.57 xG/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/122.16 xG/match
20.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1213 shots/match
8.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1215.4 shots/match
8.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/125 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/125.58 shots/match
55.4%Possessionseason · 10/1250.3%
7 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/124 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/125.42 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1211.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1225%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool84.5
Galatasaray53.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool92.7
Galatasaray43.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool95
Galatasaray31.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool96.4
Galatasaray39.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool65.5
Galatasaray51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool98.8
Galatasaray25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool89.3
Galatasaray43.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
2.97 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.36 xG/match
21.6 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
8.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/549.8%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
2.76 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.64 xG/match
20.6 shots/matchShots10/1013.3 shots/match
8.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.1 shots/match
55.4%Possession10/1050.8%
7 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 12 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/121.25 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/121.67 goals/match
2.76 xG/matchExpected goals10/121.57 xG/match
20.6 shots/matchShots10/1213 shots/match
8.5 shots/matchShots on target10/125 shots/match
55.4%Possession10/1250.3%
7 corners/matchCorners10/124 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls10/1211.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored5/60.67 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/62.5 goals/match
3.66 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.23 xG/match
26.8 shots/matchShots5/610.8 shots/match
10.6 shots/matchShots on target5/64.5 shots/match
55.2%Possession5/652.2%
8.4 corners/matchCorners5/63 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls5/612.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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