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UEFA Champions League · 2025Allianz Arena

FC Bayern München 4–1 Atalanta · UEFA Champions League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 4–1.

Shots
2514
Shots on target
88
Expected goals
3.612.3
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Atalanta 4–1. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Atalanta): shots 25–14, shots on target 8–8, expected goals 3.61–2.3, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Atalanta13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenAtalantaBaseline
Shots18.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.8% ●PossessionFC Bayern München · Atalanta48.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenAtalantaBaseline
Possession60.8%48.5%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots14 shotsFC Bayern München 25 shots, Atalanta 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots8 shotsFC Bayern München 8 shots, Atalanta 8 shots
  • Expected goals3.61 xG2.3 xGFC Bayern München 3.61 xG, Atalanta 2.3 xG
  • Possession70%30%FC Bayern München 70%, Atalanta 30%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersFC Bayern München 6 corners, Atalanta 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls4 foulsFC Bayern München 8 fouls, Atalanta 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOdilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · FC Bayern München · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.05 xG · goalLorenzo Bernasconi · Atalanta · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 56′ · 0.10 xG · goalLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 16′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.18 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.20 xG · goalGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 50′ · 0.21 xG · on targetGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 9′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.30 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 69′ · 0.37 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.55 xG · goalMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 44′ · 0.62 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 25 shots, 8 on target, 3.59 xG. Atalanta: 14 shots, 8 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 25′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 54′Lennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 56′Luis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 70′Lazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.59 xG · Atalanta 2.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Bayern München
0Draws
0Atalanta
Atalanta — FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League1–6

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München10 matchesAtalanta12 matches
3.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/121.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed10/121.92 goals/match
2.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/121.82 xG/match
18.9 shots/match ▲Shots10/1213.8 shots/match
8.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/124.42 shots/match
60.8% ●Possession10/1248.5%
5 corners/match ●Corners10/124 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1210.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenAtalanta
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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