UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LWWWL

3–2Full-time recap

Atlético Madrid

DLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Atlético Madrid
Shots	18 shots/match	18 shots/match
Shots on target	11 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	2.45 xG/match▲	1.04 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	7 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 18 shots, 11 on target, 2.45 xG. Atlético Madrid: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 2.45 xG · Atlético Madrid 1.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.2 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Tottenham Hotspur

0Draws

2Atlético Madrid

10 Mar 2026Atletico Madrid — Tottenham · UEFA Champions League5–2

10 Mar 2026Atlético Madrid — Tottenham Hotspur · UEFA Champions League5–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 4 · 5 too close

2.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/12▲2.58 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/122 goals/match

1.86 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/12▲1.96 xG/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/121.74 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/12▲15.1 shots/match

12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1213.2 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/12▲6.08 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/125.75 shots/match

49.9%Possessionseason · 10/1251.7%

4.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/126.17 corners/match

3.9 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/124.42 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1210.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

60%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/120%

90%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1292%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur51.2

Atlético Madrid63.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur61.5

Atlético Madrid78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur64.4

Atlético Madrid31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur36.9

Atlético Madrid60.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur46.4

Atlético Madrid28.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur44

Atlético Madrid86.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur48.5

Atlético Madrid64.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

2.07 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.18 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.6 shots/match

7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/56 shots/match

51%Possession5/551.8%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.86 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.85 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.3 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.7 shots/match

49.9%Possession10/1052.5%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 12 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/12▲2.58 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/122 goals/match

1.86 xG/matchExpected goals10/12▲1.96 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots10/12▲15.1 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target10/12▲6.08 shots/match

49.9%Possession10/1251.7%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/126.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1210.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/61.83 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/62.67 goals/match

2.22 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.39 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/613.7 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/64.83 shots/match

55.4%Possession5/647.7%

5 corners/matchCorners5/65.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/610.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4