Serie A · 2025New Balance Arena

Atalanta 1–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 1–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.021.11
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Hellas Verona): shots 12–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.02–1.11, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match14.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Hellas Verona10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsAtalanta 12 shots, Hellas Verona 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAtalanta 3 shots, Hellas Verona 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG1.11 xGAtalanta 1.02 xG, Hellas Verona 1.11 xG
  • Possession60%40%Atalanta 60%, Hellas Verona 40%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAtalanta 2 corners, Hellas Verona 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsAtalanta 12 fouls, Hellas Verona 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAtalanta 1 card, Hellas Verona 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gift Orban · Hellas Verona · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Valentini · Hellas Verona · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.02 xG · goalMoatasem Al-Musrati · Hellas Verona · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Valentini · Hellas Verona · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 14′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafik Belghali · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKieron Bowie · Hellas Verona · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 16′ · 0.21 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 56′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedKieron Bowie · Hellas Verona · 48′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.04 xG. Hellas Verona: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Davide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.04 xG · Hellas Verona 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atalanta
1Draws
1Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Atalanta · Serie A3–1
Hellas Verona — Atalanta · Serie A0–5
Atalanta — Hellas Verona · Serie A6–1
Atalanta — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–2
Hellas Verona — Atalanta · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta30 matchesHellas Verona30 matches
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.73 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.73 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/300.96 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots30/3010.8 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.67 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession30/3040.3%
5.73 corners/match ●Corners30/303.7 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards28/282.36 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3015.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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