PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna 0–2 Lazio · Serie A

Bologna

WWWLW
0–2Historical match

Lazio

LDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 0–2.

Shots
159
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.351.6
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Bologna 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Lazio): shots 15–9, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.35–1.6, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Lazio11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaLazioBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsBologna 15 shots, Lazio 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsBologna 4 shots, Lazio 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG1.6 xGBologna 1.35 xG, Lazio 1.6 xG
  • Possession54%46%Bologna 54%, Lazio 46%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerBologna 2 corners, Lazio 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsBologna 13 fouls, Lazio 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardBologna 1 card, Lazio 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Moro · Bologna · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Vitík · Bologna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Moro · Bologna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDaniel Maldini · Lazio · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 81′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 9′ · 0.28 xG · on targetKenneth Taylor · Lazio · 72′ · 0.46 xG · goalKenneth Taylor · Lazio · 82′ · 0.53 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 51′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.37 xG. Lazio: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kenneth Taylor · Lazio · 72′Kenneth Taylor · Lazio · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.37 xG · Lazio 1.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
2Draws
1Lazio
Bologna — Lazio · Coppa Italia1–1
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A5–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A3–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna30 matchesLazio30 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.03 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.07 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots30/3011.1 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target30/303.83 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession30/3050.2%
4.53 corners/match ●Corners30/303.63 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards28/272.3 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBolognaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headBologna — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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