Serie A · 2025Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 11:30 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

DWWWW
50Full-time recap

Pisa

LLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoPisa
Shots14 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals1.47 xG/match0.41 xG/match
Possession73%27%
Corners7 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pisa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/matchShotsComo · Pisa9.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoPisaBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match9.83 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against9.1 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.7%PossessionComo · Pisa39.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoPisaBaseline
Possession61.7%39.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Como
0Draws
0Pisa
PisaComo · Serie A03

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 1 · 4 too close

1.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/300.77 goals/match
0.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/301.8 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/309.83 shots/match
9.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3015.2 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/302.73 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/304.67 shots/match
61.7%Possessionseason · 30/3039.6%
4.23 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/303.77 corners/match
3.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/304.97 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/292.1 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3013 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
47%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3017%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3047%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como97.5
Pisa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como87.5
Pisa10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como90.8
Pisa9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como22.5
Pisa57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como67.5
Pisa55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como47.5
Pisa27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como70
Pisa23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
13.4 shots/matchShots5/57.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/52.4 shots/match
62.6%Possession5/536.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
0.75 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.4 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
14.9 shots/matchShots10/109.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.2 shots/match
63%Possession10/1038.5%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards9/92 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored30/300.77 goals/match
0.73 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.8 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
14.3 shots/matchShots30/309.83 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target30/302.73 shots/match
61.7%Possession30/3039.6%
4.23 corners/matchCorners30/303.77 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards29/292.1 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3013 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 15 matches
1.94 goals/matchGoals scored16/151.07 goals/match
0.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/152.4 goals/match
Expected goals2/1
15.9 shots/matchShots16/159.4 shots/match
6.25 shots/matchShots on target16/152.47 shots/match
64.4%Possession16/1537.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners16/153.6 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards15/142.14 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1513.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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