PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

LDWWW
2–1Full-time recap

AS Roma

WDWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoAS Roma
Shots22 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals2.22 xG/match▲0.86 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners7 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: AS Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.34 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.34 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Roma have a visible away split

moderate

AS Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Como
0Draws
1AS Roma
AS Roma — Como · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · AS Roma in 1 · 7 too close

1.66 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.34 goals/match
0.76 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/290.79 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—
14.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/2913.1 shots/match
9.17 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/299.97 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/294.52 shots/match
3.34 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/293.72 shots/match
61.3%Possessionseason · 29/2956.3%
4.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/294.93 corners/match
3.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/293.1 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲1.97 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2914.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2941%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2976%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como97.5
AS Roma77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como85.8
AS Roma65.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como87.5
AS Roma81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como22.5
AS Roma27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como72.5
AS Roma67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como47.5
AS Roma77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como72.5
AS Roma73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
57.2%Possession5/548.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.3 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
62.5%Possession10/1054.5%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches
1.66 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.34 goals/match
0.76 goals/matchGoals allowed29/290.79 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots29/2913.1 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target29/294.52 shots/match
61.3%Possession29/2956.3%
4.14 corners/matchCorners29/294.93 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards29/291.97 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2914.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches
1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match
0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/150.93 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
16.1 shots/match▲Shots15/1510.7 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154 shots/match
63.8%Possession15/1555.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners15/154.27 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards15/152.33 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoAS Roma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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