Serie A · 2025Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

DLLLL

3–1Full-time recap

Cagliari

LLDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Pisa	Cagliari
Shots	10 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.47 xG/match▲	1.31 xG/match
Possession	28%	72%
Corners	1 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.07 goals/match	1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Pisa

1Draws

0Cagliari

21 Dec 2025Cagliari — Pisa · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Cagliari in 6 · 5 too close

0.79 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/29▲1.07 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/29▲1.41 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

9.93 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/2910.1 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/29▲13.2 shots/match

2.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/29▲3.38 shots/match

4.59 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/294.83 shots/match

40.1%Possessionseason · 29/2946.4%

3.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/293.48 corners/match

4.9 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/295.34 corners/match

2.1 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 29/292.52 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2915.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/29▲21%

48%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/29▲66%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa2.5

Cagliari42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa14.2

Cagliari24.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa12.5

Cagliari27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa52.5

Cagliari7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa55

Cagliari95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa27.5

Cagliari10

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa25

Cagliari35.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

7.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/52.8 shots/match

37.6%Possession5/552%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match

2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

9.9 shots/matchShots10/109.9 shots/match

3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

40.4%Possession10/1047.7%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

0.79 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲1.07 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲1.41 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

9.93 shots/matchShots29/2910.1 shots/match

2.83 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲3.38 shots/match

40.1%Possession29/2946.4%

3.86 corners/matchCorners29/293.48 corners/match

2.1 cards/matchCards29/292.52 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls29/2915.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

0.47 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

10.3 shots/matchShots15/1510.5 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲3.4 shots/match

41.7%Possession15/1546.1%

3.93 corners/matchCorners15/153.13 corners/match

2.07 cards/matchCards15/152.87 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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