Serie A · 2025Unipol Domus

Cagliari 0–1 Napoli · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Napoli

DLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 0–1.

Shots
717
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.351.77
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Cagliari 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Napoli): shots 7–17, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.35–1.77, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Napoli13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariNapoliBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionCagliari · Napoli● 58.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariNapoliBaseline
Possession46%58.3%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots17 shotsCagliari 7 shots, Napoli 17 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsCagliari 0 shots, Napoli 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.35 xG1.77 xGCagliari 0.35 xG, Napoli 1.77 xG
  • Possession33%67%Cagliari 33%, Napoli 67%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersCagliari 2 corners, Napoli 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsCagliari 12 fouls, Napoli 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsCagliari 2 cards, Napoli 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Napoli · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatteo Politano · Napoli · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Napoli · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Napoli · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Napoli · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Mendy · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 6′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Napoli · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPaul Mendy · Cagliari · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Buongiorno · Napoli · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 18′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 15′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 56′ · 0.29 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 2′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.34 xG. Napoli: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Scott McTominay · Napoli · 2′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.34 xG · Napoli 1.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cagliari
2Draws
3Napoli
Napoli — Cagliari · Coppa Italia1–1
Napoli — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Napoli — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Cagliari — Napoli · Serie A0–4
Cagliari — Napoli · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari30 matchesNapoli30 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1 goal/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.4 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 13 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.8 shots/match
46%Possession30/30● 58.3%
3.43 corners/matchCorners30/30● 5.33 corners/match
2.52 cards/matchCards29/281.5 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls30/3012 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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