Serie A · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Ennio TardiniFull-time recap

Parma

WWDDL

0–2Full-time recap

Cremonese

DLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Parma	Cremonese
Shots	7 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.3 xG/match	0.71 xG/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	3 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	20 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsParma · Cremonese9.13 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Parma	Cremonese	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	9.13 shots/match	11.8 shots/match
Shots against	14.2 shots/match	16.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Parma

1Draws

0Cremonese

21 Sept 2025Cremonese — Parma · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Parma favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 2 · 5 too close

0.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲0.83 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/301.47 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

11.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/309.13 shots/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3016.6 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/30▲3.2 shots/match

4.3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/305.43 shots/match

45.1%Possessionseason · 30/3045.7%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/303.27 corners/match

4.37 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/306.53 corners/match

1.93 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/282.11 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3013.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3027%

53%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3053%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Parma27.5

Cremonese37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Parma17.5

Cremonese14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Parma35.8

Cremonese9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Parma62.5

Cremonese2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Parma27.5

Cremonese66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Parma42.5

Cremonese2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Parma27.5

Cremonese22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

9.6 shots/matchShots5/59.2 shots/match

2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3 shots/match

46.8%Possession5/549%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/517 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.5 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.3 shots/match

50%Possession10/1046.6%

5.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match

1.63 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

0.7 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲0.83 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/301.47 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.3 shots/match▲Shots30/309.13 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲3.2 shots/match

45.1%Possession30/3045.7%

4 corners/matchCorners30/303.27 corners/match

1.93 cards/matchCards28/282.11 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 16 matches

0.73 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲0.81 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed15/161.44 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.7 shots/match▲Shots15/168.13 shots/match

2.87 shots/matchShots on target15/162.81 shots/match

46.9%Possession15/1645.8%

4.33 corners/matchCorners15/163.13 corners/match

1.86 cards/matchCards14/152.07 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1614 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.76 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4