PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma 0–2 Cremonese · Serie A

Parma

WWDDL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cremonese won 0–2.

Shots
87
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.340.72
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cremonese beat Parma 2–0. Recorded in this match (Parma – Cremonese): shots 8–7, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.34–0.72, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Cremonese9.17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaCremoneseBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.17 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsParma 8 shots, Cremonese 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsParma 1 shot, Cremonese 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.34 xG0.72 xGParma 0.34 xG, Cremonese 0.72 xG
  • Possession52%48%Parma 52%, Cremonese 48%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerParma 3 corners, Cremonese 1 corner
  • Fouls20 fouls15 foulsParma 20 fouls, Cremonese 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsParma 2 cards, Cremonese 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nahuel Estévez · Parma · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ondrejka · Parma · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntonio Sanabria · Cremonese · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Cremonese · 54′ · 0.02 xG · goalYoussef Maleh · Cremonese · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMariano Troilo · Parma · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Parma · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJari Vandeputte · Cremonese · 6′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 30′ · 0.08 xG · on targetHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Parma · 84′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJari Vandeputte · Cremonese · 68′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.34 xG. Cremonese: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Youssef Maleh · Cremonese · 54′Jari Vandeputte · Cremonese · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 0.34 xG · Cremonese 0.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Parma
2Draws
2Cremonese
Cremonese — Parma · Serie A0–0
Parma — Cremonese · Serie B1–1
Cremonese — Parma · Serie B1–2
Cremonese — Parma · Serie B3–1
Parma — Cremonese · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Cremonese in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma30 matchesCremonese30 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.47 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 0.98 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots30/309.17 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 3.2 shots/match
45.2%Possession30/30● 45.7%
4 corners/match ●Corners30/303.27 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards28/282.11 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaCremonese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headParma — Cremonese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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