PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Torino 4–1 Parma · Serie A

Torino

DLLWL
4–1Historical match

Parma

WWWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Torino won 4–1.

Shots
156
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.950.56
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Torino beat Parma 4–1. Recorded in this match (Torino – Parma): shots 15–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.95–0.56, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsTorino 15 shots, Parma 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsTorino 6 shots, Parma 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG0.56 xGTorino 1.95 xG, Parma 0.56 xG
  • Possession50%50%Torino 50%, Parma 50%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersTorino 2 corners, Parma 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsTorino 17 fouls, Parma 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsTorino 1 card, Parma 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gabriel Strefezza · Parma · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlessandro Circati · Parma · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ondrejka · Parma · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Vlašić · Torino · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafael Obrador · Torino · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 3′ · 0.04 xG · goalSaúl Coco · Torino · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmirhan İlkhan · Torino · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 54′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 20′ · 0.14 xG · goalMariano Troilo · Parma · 31′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSandro Kulenović · Torino · 78′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 31′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMandela Keita · Torino · 56′ · 0.22 xG · goalGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 56′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedEmirhan İlkhan · Torino · 54′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.22 xG. Parma: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Giovanni Simeone · Torino · 3′Emirhan İlkhan · Torino · 54′Mandela Keita · Torino · 56′Duván Zapata · Torino · 90′Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 2.22 xG · Parma 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Torino
2Draws
1Parma
Parma — Torino · Serie A2–1
Parma — Torino · Serie A2–2
Torino — Parma · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino29 matchesParma29 matches
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.72 goals/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.08 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/290.88 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots29/2911.4 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/292.86 shots/match
44.1%Possession29/29● 44.9%
3.9 corners/matchCorners29/29● 4.03 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards28/281.93 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2911 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headTorino — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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