Serie A · 2025Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli 2–1 Torino · Serie A

Napoli

WWDLW
2–1Historical match

Torino

WDLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 2–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
1.240.37
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Torino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Torino): shots 14–7, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 1.24–0.37, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6% ●PossessionNapoli · Torino43.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNapoliTorinoBaseline
Possession57.6%43.9%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsNapoli 14 shots, Torino 7 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsNapoli 9 shots, Torino 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG0.37 xGNapoli 1.24 xG, Torino 0.37 xG
  • Possession64%36%Napoli 64%, Torino 36%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersNapoli 11 corners, Torino 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsNapoli 9 fouls, Torino 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsNapoli 0 cards, Torino 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alisson Santos · Napoli · 7′ · 0.01 xG · goalNikola Vlašić · Torino · 17′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafael Obrador · Torino · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Napoli · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Napoli · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBilly Gilmour · Napoli · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Vlašić · Torino · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Napoli · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Vlašić · Torino · 11′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatteo Politano · Napoli · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatteo Politano · Napoli · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Napoli · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Buongiorno · Napoli · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 53′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCesare Casadei · Torino · 87′ · 0.10 xG · goalEljif Elmas · Napoli · 68′ · 0.14 xG · goalRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 35′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedFaustino Anjorin · Torino · 86′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMathías Olivera · Napoli · 7′ · 0.47 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 14 shots, 9 on target, 1.22 xG. Torino: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alisson Santos · Napoli · 7′Eljif Elmas · Napoli · 68′Cesare Casadei · Torino · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.22 xG · Torino 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
1Draws
2Torino
Torino — Napoli · Serie A1–0
Napoli — Torino · Serie A2–0
Torino — Napoli · Serie A0–1
Napoli — Torino · Serie A1–1
Torino — Napoli · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli28 matchesTorino28 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281 goal/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.75 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.05 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.6 shots/match
4.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/284.21 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession28/2843.9%
5.21 corners/match ●Corners28/283.96 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards28/282.07 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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