PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Torino 2–0 Lazio · Serie A

Torino

LWDLL
2–0Historical match

Lazio

DWDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Torino won 2–0.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.690.94
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Torino beat Lazio 2–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Lazio): shots 13–12, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.69–0.94, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsTorino 13 shots, Lazio 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsTorino 5 shots, Lazio 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.69 xG0.94 xGTorino 0.69 xG, Lazio 0.94 xG
  • Possession45%55%Torino 45%, Lazio 55%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersTorino 6 corners, Lazio 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls5 foulsTorino 13 fouls, Lazio 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardTorino 4 cards, Lazio 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Danilo Cataldi · Lazio · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSandro Kulenović · Torino · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Prati · Torino · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatteo Prati · Torino · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenneth Taylor · Lazio · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOliver Provstgaard · Lazio · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPetar Ratkov · Lazio · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNikola Vlašić · Torino · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 44′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 78′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 21′ · 0.13 xG · goalReda Belahyane · Lazio · 37′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 53′ · 0.13 xG · goalTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 75′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 87′ · 0.26 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.71 xG. Lazio: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Giovanni Simeone · Torino · 21′Duván Zapata · Torino · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.71 xG · Lazio 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Torino
2Draws
3Lazio
Lazio — Torino · Serie A3–3
Lazio — Torino · Serie A1–1
Torino — Lazio · Serie A2–3
Torino — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Torino · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino27 matchesLazio27 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored27/270.96 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1 goal/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.02 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots27/2711.2 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.81 shots/match
44.1%Possession27/27● 50.7%
4.04 corners/match ●Corners27/273.93 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards27/272.3 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headTorino — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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