PitchMath
Serie A · 2025MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sassuolo won 2–1.

Shots
726
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.522.98
Possession
24%76%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sassuolo beat Atalanta 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sassuolo – Atalanta): shots 7–26, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.52–2.98, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSassuolo · Atalanta14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloAtalantaBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match14.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match14.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots26 shotsSassuolo 7 shots, Atalanta 26 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsSassuolo 5 shots, Atalanta 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG2.98 xGSassuolo 1.52 xG, Atalanta 2.98 xG
  • Possession24%76%Sassuolo 24%, Atalanta 76%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersSassuolo 3 corners, Atalanta 9 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls13 foulsSassuolo 3 fouls, Atalanta 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSassuolo 2 cards, Atalanta 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYunus Musah · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 72′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 26′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 32′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 69′ · 0.13 xG · goalKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 63′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 52′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedYunus Musah · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.20 xG · goalNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 10′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedTarik Muharemović · Sassuolo · 45′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.32 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 33′ · 0.58 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Koné · Sassuolo · 23′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG. Atalanta: 26 shots, 7 on target, 3.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Ismael Koné · Sassuolo · 23′Kristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 69′Yunus Musah · Atalanta · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 1.56 xG · Atalanta 3.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sassuolo
0Draws
3Atalanta
Atalanta — Sassuolo · Serie A0–3
Atalanta — Sassuolo · Serie A3–0
Sassuolo — Atalanta · Serie A0–2
Sassuolo — Atalanta · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Sassuolo · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo27 matchesAtalanta27 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.57 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 14.9 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.78 shots/match
44.6%Possession27/27● 54.9%
3.78 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.78 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards27/271.67 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSassuoloAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headSassuolo — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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