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UEFA Champions League · 2025Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta 4–1 Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 4–1.

Shots
157
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.610.93
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Borussia Dortmund 4–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Borussia Dortmund): shots 15–7, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.61–0.93, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match2.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Borussia Dortmund11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match11 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsAtalanta 15 shots, Borussia Dortmund 7 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsAtalanta 9 shots, Borussia Dortmund 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.61 xG0.93 xGAtalanta 2.61 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.93 xG
  • Possession44%56%Atalanta 44%, Borussia Dortmund 56%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerAtalanta 5 corners, Borussia Dortmund 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsAtalanta 17 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 4′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.06 xG · goalGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.07 xG · goalNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 50′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 74′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 74′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 53′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 35′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 57′ · 0.45 xG · goalGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 5′ · 0.60 xG · goalLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 15 shots, 9 on target, 2.63 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 5′Davide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 45′Mario Pašalić · Atalanta · 57′Lazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 2.63 xG · Borussia Dortmund 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atalanta
0Draws
1Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — Atalanta · UEFA Champions League2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta10 matchesBorussia Dortmund10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.63 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots10/1011 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.7 shots/match
52.1%Possession10/10● 53.5%
4.3 corners/match ●Corners10/104.1 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Feb 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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