PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid 2–1 Benfica · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

Benfica

WWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.111.98
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Benfica 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Benfica): shots 14–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.11–1.98, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Benfica's recent record differs from the season

weak

Benfica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Benfica have a visible away split

moderate

Benfica's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.3 corners/match ●CornersReal Madrid · Benfica5.36 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridBenficaBaseline
Corners6.3 corners/match5.36 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsReal Madrid 14 shots, Benfica 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsReal Madrid 4 shots, Benfica 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG1.98 xGReal Madrid 1.11 xG, Benfica 1.98 xG
  • Possession56%44%Real Madrid 56%, Benfica 44%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersReal Madrid 4 corners, Benfica 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsReal Madrid 16 fouls, Benfica 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Asencio · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Barreiro · Benfica · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Carreras · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Real Madrid · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Schjelderup · Benfica · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArda Güler · Real Madrid · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Benfica · 6′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Benfica · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 16′ · 0.18 xG · goalFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 80′ · 0.32 xG · goalRafa Silva · Benfica · 82′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 22′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Benfica · 14′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.08 xG. Benfica: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Aurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 16′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 80′Rafa Silva · Benfica · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.08 xG · Benfica 1.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Madrid
0Draws
1Benfica
Benfica — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League0–1
Benfica — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Benfica in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid10 matchesBenfica14 matches
2.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/141.14 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/14▲ 1.07 goals/match
2.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.41 xG/match
18.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/1413.9 shots/match
6.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/144.43 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession10/1447.1%
6.3 corners/match ●Corners10/145.36 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1410.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 26 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridBenfica
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Benfica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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