Serie A · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap

Juventus

LLDWW

1–1Full-time recap

Sassuolo

WWWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Juventus	Sassuolo
Shots	18 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.13 xG/match▲	0.48 xG/match
Possession	66%	34%
Corners	9 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sassuolo's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsJuventus · Sassuolo10.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Juventus	Sassuolo	Baseline
Shots	16.8 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	11.8 shots/match
Shots against	10.1 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.6 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.2%▲PossessionJuventus · Sassuolo44.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Juventus	Sassuolo	Baseline
Possession	57.2%	44.7%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Juventus

0Draws

0Sassuolo

6 Jan 2026Sassuolo — Juventus · Serie A0–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 0 · 4 too close

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 30/301.2 goals/match

0.97 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/301.33 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/30.56 xG/match

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/31.81 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/3010.4 shots/match

10.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3014.6 shots/match

6.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/303.73 shots/match

2.83 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/305.2 shots/match

57.2%Possessionseason · 30/3044.7%

5.23 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/303.97 corners/match

3.77 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/304.83 corners/match

1.29 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/272.3 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3011.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

37%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3020%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3067%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5

Sassuolo22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus92.5

Sassuolo40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus80.8

Sassuolo22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus92.5

Sassuolo22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus17.5

Sassuolo51.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus82.5

Sassuolo35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus75

Sassuolo30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.56 xG/match

17.8 shots/match▲Shots5/57.6 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

57.2%Possession5/541.8%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

0.67 cards/matchCards3/2—

10 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.56 xG/match

18.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1011 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match

57%Possession10/1043.4%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match

1.25 cards/matchCards8/72.29 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored30/301.2 goals/match

0.97 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/301.33 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.56 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots30/3010.4 shots/match

6.17 shots/match▲Shots on target30/303.73 shots/match

57.2%Possession30/3044.7%

5.23 corners/matchCorners30/303.97 corners/match

1.29 cards/matchCards28/272.3 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.27 goals/match

0.87 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.27 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

19.3 shots/match▲Shots15/1510.5 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.8 shots/match

57.5%Possession15/1543.7%

6.13 corners/matchCorners15/153.87 corners/match

0.93 cards/matchCards14/132.38 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.24 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4