Serie A · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

LLLWD

0–1Full-time recap

Juventus

DLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Udinese	Juventus
Shots	10 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.66 xG/match	3.08 xG/match▲
Possession	44%	56%
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsUdinese · Juventus16.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Udinese	Juventus	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.2 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.3%▲PossessionUdinese · Juventus56.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Udinese	Juventus	Baseline
Possession	45.3%	56.9%	48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Udinese

0Draws

2Juventus

2 Dec 2025Juventus — Udinese · Coppa Italia2–0

29 Oct 2025Juventus — Udinese · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Juventus in 9 · 5 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/29▲1.76 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/29▲0.97 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/29▲16.8 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/29▲10.2 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/29▲6.1 shots/match

4.03 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/29▲2.9 shots/match

45.3%Possessionseason · 29/2956.9%

4.41 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/295.1 corners/match

4.9 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/29▲3.76 corners/match

1.86 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/28▲1.29 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2912.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/29▲38%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2979%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese32.5

Juventus77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese37.5

Juventus92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese42.5

Juventus82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese57.5

Juventus92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese55

Juventus18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese52.5

Juventus82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese48.8

Juventus75.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.2 shots/match

43.2%Possession5/552%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

9.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲18.1 shots/match

3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.9 shots/match

43.7%Possession10/1056.2%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards9/91.11 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

1.14 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲1.76 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲0.97 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.3 shots/matchShots29/29▲16.8 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲6.1 shots/match

45.3%Possession29/2956.9%

4.41 corners/matchCorners29/295.1 corners/match

1.86 cards/matchCards28/281.29 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.47 goals/match

1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.07 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.3 shots/matchShots15/15▲14.3 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲5.33 shots/match

46.3%Possession15/1556.9%

4.27 corners/matchCorners15/154.33 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards14/141.64 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4