Serie A · 2025Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Luigi FerrarisFull-time recap

Genoa

DWLWW

0–2Full-time recap

Udinese

LLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Genoa	Udinese
Shots	18 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.36 xG/match▲	1.19 xG/match
Possession	63%	37%
Corners	7 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.8 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Genoa

0Draws

0Udinese

8 Dec 2025Udinese — Genoa · Serie A1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Udinese in 3 · 9 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/301.17 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/301.4 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

11.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/3011.1 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3013.2 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/303.57 shots/match

4.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲3.97 shots/match

48.1%Possessionseason · 30/3045%

3.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/304.3 corners/match

5.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/304.97 corners/match

1.96 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/28▲1.86 cards/match

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3014 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3023%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/30▲77%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa47.5

Udinese27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa54.2

Udinese34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa47.5

Udinese44.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa47.5

Udinese52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa45

Udinese55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa12.5

Udinese52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa42.5

Udinese47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

52.4%Possession5/540.4%

3 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

0.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.8 shots/match▲Shots10/109 shots/match

3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match

51%Possession10/1042%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

1.38 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.17 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.7 shots/match▲Shots30/3011.1 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on target30/303.57 shots/match

48.1%Possession30/3045%

3.6 corners/matchCorners30/304.3 corners/match

1.96 cards/matchCards28/281.86 cards/match

12.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3014 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 15 matches

1.19 goals/matchGoals scored16/15▲1.27 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/151.53 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.2 shots/match▲Shots16/159.87 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target16/153.33 shots/match

50.8%Possession16/1543.7%

3.63 corners/matchCorners16/154.33 corners/match

1.87 cards/matchCards15/142 cards/match

13.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1513.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.34 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4