PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeOld TraffordFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

Fulham

DDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester UnitedFulham
Shots13 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match6 shots/match
Possession42%58%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Fulham11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedFulhamBaseline
Shots16 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Manchester United
1Draws
0Fulham
Fulham — Manchester United · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 1 · 7 too close

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/241.42 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/241.46 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 24/2411.9 shots/match
11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2411.6 shots/match
5.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/243.75 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 24/244.13 shots/match
52.2%Possessionseason · 24/2451.5%
4.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.63 corners/match
5.08 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 24/245.67 corners/match
1.42 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 24/242.17 cards/match
9.46 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2411 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲21%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2483%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United62.5
Fulham55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United94.2
Fulham43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United60.8
Fulham43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United97.5
Fulham27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United10
Fulham66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United27.5
Fulham37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United58.8
Fulham45.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
47.6%Possession5/551.6%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.1 shots/match
6.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
50.4%Possession10/1053.4%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
1.3 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/108.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored24/241.42 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.46 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots24/2411.9 shots/match
5.63 shots/match▲Shots on target24/243.75 shots/match
52.2%Possession24/2451.5%
4.42 corners/matchCorners24/244.63 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCards24/242.17 cards/match
9.46 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.08 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.9 shots/match▲Shots12/1210.8 shots/match
6.17 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.83 shots/match
51.1%Possession12/1250.4%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/124.08 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards12/122.67 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsManchester UnitedFulham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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