PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Villa Park

Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford won 0–1.

Shots
276
Shots on target
52
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford beat Aston Villa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Brentford): shots 27–6, shots on target 5–2, possession 72%–28%, corners 12–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aston Villa's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots6 shotsAston Villa 27 shots, Brentford 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsAston Villa 5 shots, Brentford 2 shots
  • Possession72%28%Aston Villa 72%, Brentford 28%
  • Corners12 corners1 cornerAston Villa 12 corners, Brentford 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsAston Villa 8 fouls, Brentford 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAston Villa 1 card, Brentford 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Aston Villa
1Draws
1Brentford
Brentford — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0
Brentford — Aston Villa · Premier League0–1
Aston Villa — Brentford · Premier League3–1
Aston Villa — Brentford · Premier League3–3
Brentford — Aston Villa · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 5 of 9 directional metrics · Brentford in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa24 matchesBrentford24 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.5 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.33 goals/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots24/2410.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.04 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession24/2446.7%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners24/244.96 corners/match
1.54 cards/matchCards24/242 cards/match
9.79 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaBrentford
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headAston Villa — Brentford
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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