PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea · Premier League

1–3Historical match

Chelsea

LDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 1–3.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
76
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Crystal Palace 3–1. Recorded in this match (Crystal Palace – Chelsea): shots 13–10, shots on target 7–6, possession 43%–57%, corners 4–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionCrystal Palace · Chelsea● 57.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceChelseaBaseline
Possession43%57.2%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsCrystal Palace 13 shots, Chelsea 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsCrystal Palace 7 shots, Chelsea 6 shots
  • Possession43%57%Crystal Palace 43%, Chelsea 57%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersCrystal Palace 4 corners, Chelsea 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsCrystal Palace 11 fouls, Chelsea 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsCrystal Palace 4 cards, Chelsea 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Crystal Palace
3Draws
2Chelsea
Chelsea — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–0
Crystal Palace — Chelsea · Premier League1–1
Chelsea — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Chelsea · Premier League1–3
Chelsea — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Chelsea in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace23 matchesChelsea23 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.09 goals/match
11.5 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.74 shots/match
43%Possession23/23● 57.2%
3.91 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.74 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards23/232.57 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCrystal PalaceChelsea
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headCrystal Palace — Chelsea
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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