PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Craven Cottage

Fulham 2–1 Chelsea · Premier League

Fulham

WWWDD
2–1Historical match

Chelsea

WDLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham won 2–1.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
56
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham beat Chelsea 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Chelsea): shots 16–14, shots on target 5–6, possession 55%–45%, corners 2–11. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham, Chelsea.

3.18 days ▲Rest daysFulham · Chelsea3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFulhamChelseaBaseline
Rest days3.18 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fulham's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsFulham 16 shots, Chelsea 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsFulham 5 shots, Chelsea 6 shots
  • Possession55%45%Fulham 55%, Chelsea 45%
  • Corners2 corners11 cornersFulham 2 corners, Chelsea 11 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsFulham 11 fouls, Chelsea 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsFulham 3 cards, Chelsea 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fulham
0Draws
4Chelsea
Chelsea — Fulham · Premier League2–0
Fulham — Chelsea · Premier League1–2
Chelsea — Fulham · Premier League1–2
Chelsea — Fulham · Premier League1–0
Fulham — Chelsea · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Chelsea in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham21 matchesChelsea21 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.62 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.14 goals/match
12 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.81 shots/match
51.2%Possession21/21● 57.7%
4.52 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.9 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards21/212.57 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Jan 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFulhamChelsea
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headFulham — Chelsea
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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