PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Wed, 7 Jan 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeHill Dickinson StadiumFull-time recap

Everton

LLDWL
1–1Full-time recap

Wolves

LLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEvertonWolves
Shots13 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession45%55%
Corners2 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Wolves. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Wolves.

3.19 days▲Rest daysEverton · Wolves4.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEvertonWolvesBaseline
Rest days3.19 days4.19 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Everton
0Draws
0Wolves
Wolves — Everton · Premier League2–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Wolves in 0 · 6 too close

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 21/210.71 goals/match
1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.95 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 21/219.05 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2113.3 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/213.19 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 21/214.52 shots/match
43%Possessionseason · 21/2144.9%
4.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/213.24 corners/match
5.24 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 21/216.24 corners/match
2.05 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 21/212.19 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2114.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/215%
67%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2152%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton12.5
Wolves27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton25.8
Wolves9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton45
Wolves18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton67.5
Wolves7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton58.8
Wolves87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton22.5
Wolves2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton30
Wolves31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match
40.2%Possession5/541.6%
3 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/match▲Shots10/108.5 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/103.2 shots/match
40.8%Possession10/1042.2%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored21/210.71 goals/match
1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.95 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shots21/219.05 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target21/213.19 shots/match
43%Possession21/2144.9%
4.19 corners/matchCorners21/213.24 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards21/212.19 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.45 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.64 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/match▲Shots11/118.27 shots/match
3.73 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.73 shots/match
46.5%Possession11/1143.3%
5 corners/matchCorners11/113.45 corners/match
2.45 cards/matchCards11/112.82 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.19 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Jan 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEvertonWolves
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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