PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeMolineux StadiumFull-time recap

Wolves

LLLLD
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWolvesWest Ham
Shots11 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession33%67%
Corners6 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolves, West Ham. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.7 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolves, West Ham.

3.78 days▲Rest daysWolves · West Ham3.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWolvesWest HamBaseline
Rest days3.78 days3.81 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Wolves favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 5 · 7 too close

0.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/20▲1.05 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/202.05 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲9.8 shots/match
13.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2015.3 shots/match
3.15 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/20▲3.35 shots/match
4.65 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/205.55 shots/match
44.4%Possessionseason · 20/2043.1%
3.05 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/205.3 corners/match
6.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/206.25 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/20▲1.7 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2010.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
5%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/205%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/20▲60%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolves27.5
West Ham17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolves7.5
West Ham22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolves15.8
West Ham4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolves7.5
West Ham27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolves85
West Ham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolves2.5
West Ham67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolves30
West Ham43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.6 shots/matchShots5/58.8 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
36.8%Possession5/545%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲9.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/102.8 shots/match
40.3%Possession10/1040.3%
2.6 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲1.05 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed20/202.05 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.9 shots/matchShots20/20▲9.8 shots/match
3.15 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲3.35 shots/match
44.4%Possession20/2043.1%
3.05 corners/matchCorners20/205.3 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards20/201.7 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.9 shots/match▲Shots10/109.4 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
46.7%Possession10/1043.6%
3 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.78 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.81 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWolvesWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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