PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Thu, 8 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEmirates StadiumFull-time recap

Arsenal

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0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricArsenalLiverpool
Shots9 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession48%52%
Corners3 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Arsenal, Liverpool. A second useful context is: Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Arsenal, Liverpool.

5.1 days▲Rest daysArsenal · Liverpool4.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricArsenalLiverpoolBaseline
Rest days5.1 days4.2 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

weak

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Arsenal
0Draws
1Liverpool
Liverpool — Arsenal · Premier League1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Liverpool in 0 · 5 too close

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 21/211.52 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/2114.7 shots/match
7.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 21/2110.8 shots/match
5.05 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 21/214 shots/match
2.19 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 21/213.71 shots/match
58.1%Possessionseason · 21/2161%
5.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/215.14 corners/match
3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 21/214.48 corners/match
1.38 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 21/211.71 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/219.43 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
48%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2133%
90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2181%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal87.5
Liverpool97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal90.8
Liverpool63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal97.5
Liverpool72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal77.5
Liverpool47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal20
Liverpool23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal77.5
Liverpool57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal73.8
Liverpool48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/562%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/56 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.1 shots/matchShots10/1014.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
57.2%Possession10/1061.3%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.3 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/108.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored21/211.52 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.9 shots/matchShots21/2114.7 shots/match
5.05 shots/match▲Shots on target21/214 shots/match
58.1%Possession21/2161%
5.62 corners/matchCorners21/215.14 corners/match
1.38 cards/matchCards21/211.71 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls21/219.43 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
2.36 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.55 goals/match
0.45 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.64 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots11/1112.7 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.45 shots/match
59.3%Possession11/1160.5%
5.64 corners/matchCorners11/114.82 corners/match
0.82 cards/matchCards11/112.27 cards/match
9.73 fouls/matchFouls11/119.82 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.2 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsArsenalLiverpool
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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