PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Tue, 30 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest HamBrighton
Shots10 shots/match16 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession39%61%
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham, Brighton. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Brighton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham, Brighton.

3.19 days▲Rest daysWest Ham · Brighton3.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest HamBrightonBaseline
Rest days3.19 days3.19 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Brighton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham · Brighton13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest HamBrightonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Ham
1Draws
0Brighton
Brighton — West Ham · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Brighton in 9 · 4 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.47 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.42 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲13.5 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲12.6 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲4.53 shots/match
5.42 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲4.21 shots/match
41.8%Possessionseason · 19/1952.1%
5.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.84 corners/match
6.26 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲4.58 corners/match
1.79 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 19/192.58 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1912.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
5%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲21%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham7.5
Brighton72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham25
Brighton63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham7.5
Brighton44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham37.5
Brighton72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham50
Brighton90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham62.5
Brighton42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham43.1
Brighton66.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.2 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
38%Possession5/556.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.4 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.6 shots/match
37.3%Possession10/1056%
5 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.47 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots19/19▲13.5 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲4.53 shots/match
41.8%Possession19/1952.1%
5.21 corners/matchCorners19/194.84 corners/match
1.79 cards/matchCards19/192.58 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.7 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.9 shots/match
42.6%Possession10/1052.6%
5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/103.3 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.19 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Dec 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest HamBrighton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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