PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

Fulham

WLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest HamFulham
Shots11 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession44%56%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham · Fulham11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest HamFulhamBaseline
Shots10 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%▲PossessionWest Ham · Fulham51.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWest HamFulhamBaseline
Possession42%51.1%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 9 · 4 too close

1.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/18▲1.39 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/18▲1.44 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/18▲11.7 shots/match
15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/18▲11.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/18▲3.72 shots/match
5.39 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/18▲4.06 shots/match
42%Possessionseason · 18/1851.1%
5.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/184.83 corners/match
6.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/18▲5.28 corners/match
1.72 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 18/182 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1811.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/18▲28%
61%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham7.5
Fulham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham24.2
Fulham40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham5
Fulham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham42.5
Fulham32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham48.8
Fulham63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham62.5
Fulham40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham43.1
Fulham46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
37.2%Possession5/554.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/57 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.4 shots/match
39.3%Possession10/1052.9%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/109.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 18 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.39 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.44 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots18/18▲11.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲3.72 shots/match
42%Possession18/1851.1%
5.22 corners/matchCorners18/184.83 corners/match
1.72 cards/matchCards18/182 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.11 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots9/910.1 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲3.78 shots/match
43%Possession9/948.1%
6 corners/matchCorners9/94 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls9/912.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest HamFulham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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