PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeStamford BridgeFull-time recap

Chelsea

WWDLD
2–0Full-time recap

Everton

WWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricChelseaEverton
Shots17 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.69 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Everton have a visible away split

moderate

Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.25 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.25 shots/match10.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.8%▲PossessionChelsea · Everton43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaEvertonBaseline
Possession58.8%43.8%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Chelsea favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Everton in 0 · 5 too close

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.13 goals/match
0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.19 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1610.6 shots/match
10.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1613.2 shots/match
5.13 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/163 shots/match
3.06 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164.25 shots/match
58.8%Possessionseason · 16/1643.8%
5.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.56 corners/match
4.06 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/165 corners/match
2.19 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/162.13 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1610.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1638%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chelsea92.5
Everton27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chelsea80.8
Everton19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chelsea89.2
Everton45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chelsea47.5
Everton52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chelsea77.5
Everton62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chelsea72.5
Everton27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chelsea77.5
Everton30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
56.8%Possession5/541.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match
57.1%Possession10/1042.9%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.13 goals/match
0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.19 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.6 shots/match
5.13 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163 shots/match
58.8%Possession16/1643.8%
5.56 corners/matchCorners16/164.56 corners/match
2.19 cards/matchCards16/162.13 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.1 shots/match▲Shots8/88.25 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82 shots/match
58.4%Possession8/839.4%
6.88 corners/matchCorners8/83.25 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsChelseaEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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