UEFA Champions League · 2025Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta 2–1 Chelsea · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

Chelsea

LWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 2–1.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.721.37
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Chelsea 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Chelsea): shots 14–10, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.72–1.37, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta have a visible home split

weak

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsAtalanta 14 shots, Chelsea 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsAtalanta 4 shots, Chelsea 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.72 xG1.37 xGAtalanta 1.72 xG, Chelsea 1.37 xG
  • Possession49%51%Atalanta 49%, Chelsea 51%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersAtalanta 2 corners, Chelsea 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsAtalanta 6 fouls, Chelsea 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Enzo Fernández · Chelsea · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Chelsea · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetReece James · Chelsea · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Chelsea · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Chelsea · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedReece James · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 83′ · 0.08 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 6′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetReece James · Chelsea · 51′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.70 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Chelsea · 25′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.72 xG. Chelsea: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 55′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 83′João Pedro · Chelsea · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.72 xG · Chelsea 1.32 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta6 matchesChelsea6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.17 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.64 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/613.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.17 shots/match
47.8%Possession6/6● 55.7%
4.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.5 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls6/614.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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