PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeAmex StadiumFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

Leeds

WDLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrightonLeeds
Shots14 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leeds's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Brighton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Leeds have a visible away split

moderate

Leeds's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Brighton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brighton favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Leeds in 3 · 6 too close

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/100.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1012.2 shots/match
10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1010.2 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/103.5 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/103.8 shots/match
48%Possessionseason · 10/1047.7%
4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.3 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/10▲3 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 10/10▲1.5 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/109.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/10▲20%
90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1050%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton37.5
Leeds32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton71.7
Leeds36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton62.5
Leeds51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton87.5
Leeds82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton82.5
Leeds25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton37.5
Leeds32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton66.9
Leeds39.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match
50%Possession5/551.6%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/matchShots10/1012.2 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
48%Possession10/1047.7%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/matchShots10/1012.2 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
48%Possession10/1047.7%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/548.2%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.83 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBrightonLeeds
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match