Premier League · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadium of LightFull-time recap

Sunderland

WDDWL

2–0Full-time recap

Wolves

LLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sunderland	Wolves
Shots	8 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Possession	41%	59%
Corners	2 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match	0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sunderland's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Sunderland's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sunderland's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.13 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sunderland favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Wolves in 3 · 5 too close

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/80.63 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/82 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

9.75 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/810.3 shots/match

13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲12 shots/match

2.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲3.25 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.88 shots/match

43.5%Possessionseason · 8/848.9%

3.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83.75 corners/match

4.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/85.5 corners/match

1.75 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/81.88 cards/match

8.63 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/813.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/80%

63%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/850%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sunderland17.5

Wolves47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sunderland20

Wolves16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sunderland49.2

Wolves34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sunderland47.5

Wolves17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sunderland20

Wolves66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sunderland15

Wolves22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sunderland10

Wolves40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

39.8%Possession5/549.8%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

9 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.75 shots/matchShots8/810.3 shots/match

2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.25 shots/match

43.5%Possession8/848.9%

3.63 corners/matchCorners8/83.75 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards8/81.88 cards/match

8.63 fouls/matchFouls8/813.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.75 shots/matchShots8/810.3 shots/match

2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.25 shots/match

43.5%Possession8/848.9%

3.63 corners/matchCorners8/83.75 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards8/81.88 cards/match

8.63 fouls/matchFouls8/813.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.25 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11 shots/match▲Shots4/49.75 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match

40.3%Possession4/448%

4 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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