PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeEtihad StadiumFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

Everton

WDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester CityEverton
Shots19 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession71%29%
Corners11 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Everton have a visible away split

weak

Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match11 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsManchester City · Everton11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityEvertonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against9.63 shots/match14 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester City favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Everton in 0 · 4 too close

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81.13 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/81.13 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/811 shots/match
9.63 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/814 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/83.25 shots/match
3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/84.13 shots/match
58.8%Possessionseason · 8/843.9%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83.5 corners/match
4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/84.88 corners/match
1.25 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/82.5 cards/match
8.13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/810.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/863%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester City87.5
Everton22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester City87.5
Everton34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester City85.8
Everton36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester City42.5
Everton72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester City6.2
Everton65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester City57.5
Everton7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester City56.2
Everton28.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
57.6%Possession5/544.4%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
7.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots8/811 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.25 shots/match
58.8%Possession8/843.9%
5 corners/matchCorners8/83.5 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards8/82.5 cards/match
8.13 fouls/matchFouls8/810.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots8/811 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.25 shots/match
58.8%Possession8/843.9%
5 corners/matchCorners8/83.5 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards8/82.5 cards/match
8.13 fouls/matchFouls8/810.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots4/47.75 shots/match
6.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42 shots/match
61.5%Possession4/439.8%
7.5 corners/matchCorners4/42.75 corners/match
0.5 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
7 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsManchester CityEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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