Premier League · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeHill Dickinson StadiumFull-time recap

Everton

DLDWL
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEvertonTottenham
Shots12 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession54%46%
Corners9 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Everton have a visible home split

moderate

Everton's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionEverton · Tottenham54.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEvertonTottenhamBaseline
Possession45%54.2%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham in 8 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/91.89 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/90.78 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/910.4 shots/match
13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/912 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/93.67 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/93.67 shots/match
45%Possessionseason · 9/954.2%
4.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/96.22 corners/match
5.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/95.78 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/91.89 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/944%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/989%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton22.5
Tottenham67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton29.2
Tottenham51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton38.3
Tottenham64.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton57.5
Tottenham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton62.5
Tottenham61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton32.5
Tottenham90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton33.8
Tottenham54.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.4 shots/matchShots5/59.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
45.6%Possession5/551.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.89 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/90.78 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.1 shots/matchShots9/910.4 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target9/93.67 shots/match
45%Possession9/954.2%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/96.22 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.89 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/90.78 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.1 shots/matchShots9/910.4 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target9/93.67 shots/match
45%Possession9/954.2%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/96.22 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.8 shots/matchShots5/510.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
49.2%Possession5/551.2%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.15 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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