Premier League · 2025Villa Park

Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 1–0.

Shots
918
Shots on target
34
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Manchester City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Manchester City): shots 9–18, shots on target 3–4, possession 47%–53%, corners 5–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aston Villa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Aston Villa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAston Villa · Manchester City13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaManchester CityBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match9.56 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsAston Villa 9 shots, Manchester City 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsAston Villa 3 shots, Manchester City 4 shots
  • Possession47%53%Aston Villa 47%, Manchester City 53%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersAston Villa 5 corners, Manchester City 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsAston Villa 8 fouls, Manchester City 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsAston Villa 1 card, Manchester City 4 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Aston Villa
0Draws
3Manchester City
Manchester City — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1
Aston Villa — Manchester City · Premier League2–1
Manchester City — Aston Villa · Premier League4–1
Aston Villa — Manchester City · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Aston Villa · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Manchester City in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa9 matchesManchester City9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.89 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.78 goals/match
10.3 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.78 shots/match
54.9%Possession9/9● 58.1%
5.44 corners/match ●Corners9/95.11 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards9/91.56 cards/match
9.56 fouls/matchFouls9/99 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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