PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeElland RoadFull-time recap

Leeds

LDLWD
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeedsTottenham
Shots16 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leeds's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Leeds's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Leeds have a visible home split

weak

Leeds's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Leeds's recent record differs from the season

weak

Leeds's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.3%▲PossessionLeeds · Tottenham55.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLeedsTottenhamBaseline
Possession45.3%55.6%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Leeds favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham in 5 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲1.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲0.71 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/711 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/712.6 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲3.71 shots/match
3.57 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/74.14 shots/match
45.3%Possessionseason · 7/755.6%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/76 corners/match
3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/75.29 corners/match
1.43 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 7/72.14 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/712 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/7▲43%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leeds27.5
Tottenham72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leeds42.5
Tottenham58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leeds52.5
Tottenham50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leeds87.5
Tottenham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leeds30
Tottenham67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leeds27.5
Tottenham85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leeds41.2
Tottenham63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
46.2%Possession5/556.6%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shots7/711 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.71 shots/match
45.3%Possession7/755.6%
4 corners/matchCorners7/76 corners/match
1.43 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shots7/711 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.71 shots/match
45.3%Possession7/755.6%
4 corners/matchCorners7/76 corners/match
1.43 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.5 shots/match▲Shots4/411.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/44 shots/match
48.8%Possession4/452.5%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.5 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.69 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLeedsTottenham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match