PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeEmirates StadiumFull-time recap

Arsenal

WLWDW
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricArsenalWest Ham
Shots21 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession68%32%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsArsenal · West Ham9.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalWest HamBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match9.86 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match14 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.57 corners/match▲CornersArsenal · West Ham5.57 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricArsenalWest HamBaseline
Corners7.57 corners/match5.57 corners/match4.79 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 0 · 4 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/70.86 goals/match
0.43 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/72.29 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/79.86 shots/match
8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/714 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/73.71 shots/match
2.57 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/74.86 shots/match
58%Possessionseason · 7/745.6%
7.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.57 corners/match
3.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/77.29 corners/match
1.29 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 7/71.57 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/710.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/757%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal87.5
West Ham37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal84.2
West Ham26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal95.8
West Ham6.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal82.5
West Ham37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal33.8
West Ham42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal97.5
West Ham72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal80
West Ham46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
59.8%Possession5/543%
9.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
0.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots7/79.86 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
58%Possession7/745.6%
7.57 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
0.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots7/79.86 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
58%Possession7/745.6%
7.57 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match
0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.8 shots/match▲Shots4/410.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match
64.3%Possession4/446.3%
7.25 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match
0.5 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsArsenalWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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