UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeEmirates StadiumFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricArsenalOlympiacos FC
Shots16 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.9 xG/match0.5 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Hezze · Olympiacos FC · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCostinha · Olympiacos FC · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Podence · Olympiacos FC · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 88′ · 0.07 xG · on targetViktor Gyökeres · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 12′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDaniel Podence · Olympiacos FC · 20′ · 0.10 xG · on targetViktor Gyökeres · Arsenal · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 65′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 42′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goalGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 2′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedViktor Gyökeres · Arsenal · 12′ · 0.30 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 82′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 82′ · 0.48 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 12′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 16 shots, 5 on target, 3.32 xG. Olympiacos FC: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Gabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 12′Bukayo Saka · Arsenal · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 3.32 xG · Olympiacos FC 0.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Olympiacos FC in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal
Olympiacos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal
Olympiacos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal
Olympiacos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal
Olympiacos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal
Olympiacos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal
Olympiacos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal
Olympiacos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Last 10

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Season

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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