Monaco and Manchester City drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Monaco – Manchester City): shots 8–18, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.45–1.54, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
AS MonacoManchester City
Shots8 shots18 shotsAS Monaco 8 shots, Manchester City 18 shots
Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAS Monaco 3 shots, Manchester City 6 shots
Expected goals1.45 xG1.54 xGAS Monaco 1.45 xG, Manchester City 1.54 xG
Possession29%71%AS Monaco 29%, Manchester City 71%
Corners7 corners3 cornersAS Monaco 7 corners, Manchester City 3 corners
Fouls9 fouls13 foulsAS Monaco 9 fouls, Manchester City 13 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Manchester City← attackingattacking →Monaco
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Monaco: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.48 xG. Manchester City: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.55 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Monaco1.48 xGManchester City1.55 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 1.48 xG · Manchester City 1.55 xG.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
AS Monaco / Manchester City
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4