PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Mon, 29 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeHill Dickinson StadiumFull-time recap

Everton

LWWDL
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEvertonWest Ham
Shots12 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Everton have a visible home split

weak

Everton's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Ham's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 2 · 6 too close

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/62.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/610.8 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/612.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲4.33 shots/match
3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/64.83 shots/match
45.3%Possessionseason · 6/647.8%
3.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/66 corners/match
4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/67.17 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲1.5 cards/match
9.83 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton32.5
West Ham37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton40.8
West Ham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton55
West Ham9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton67.5
West Ham42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton53.8
West Ham30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton17.5
West Ham77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton29.4
West Ham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/544.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/match▲Shots6/610.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.33 shots/match
45.3%Possession6/647.8%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/610.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/match▲Shots6/610.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.33 shots/match
45.3%Possession6/647.8%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/610.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots3/312.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5 shots/match
47.3%Possession3/351%
5 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.21 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEvertonWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match