Premier League · 2025Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeVitality StadiumFull-time recap

Bournemouth

WWWDD

3–1Full-time recap

Fulham

DLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bournemouth	Fulham
Shots	11 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	4 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 0 · 7 too close

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/71.14 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.57 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/710.4 shots/match

10.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/710.1 shots/match

4.43 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/73.29 shots/match

3.86 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/74.14 shots/match

51%Possessionseason · 7/750.4%

5.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74.57 corners/match

3.57 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/75 corners/match

2.29 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/72.29 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/714 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%

86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth57.5

Fulham52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth76.7

Fulham32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth58.3

Fulham46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth77.5

Fulham12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth71.2

Fulham86.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth72.5

Fulham47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth74.4

Fulham51.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

51.8%Possession5/550.2%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13 shots/match▲Shots7/710.4 shots/match

4.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match

51%Possession7/750.4%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/74.57 corners/match

2.29 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/714 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13 shots/match▲Shots7/710.4 shots/match

4.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match

51%Possession7/750.4%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/74.57 corners/match

2.29 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/714 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410.3 shots/match

4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.25 shots/match

55%Possession4/448.5%

5.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls4/413.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.25 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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