PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

Borussia M'gladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.50.75
Expected goals
1.640.65
Shots
16.511.8
Possession
47.5%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SC Paderborn 07 in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach4 matchesSC Paderborn 074 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
4 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.65 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession4/446.8%
6.75 corners/match ●Corners4/44 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachSC Paderborn 07
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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