PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SV Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21.75
Expected goals
1.091.74
Shots
13.819
Possession
48.8%57%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsSV Werder Bremen · TSG Hoffenheim14 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Fouls12.8 fouls/match14 fouls/match10.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8%PossessionSV Werder Bremen · TSG Hoffenheim● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Possession48.8%57%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen4 matchesTSG Hoffenheim4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.74 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 19 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/45 shots/match
48.8%Possession4/4● 57%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.75 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/414 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
4TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–0
SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–2
SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–3
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga3–4
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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