PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.752.25
Expected goals
1.352.19
Shots
11.818.8
Possession
36%57.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

36%PossessionFC Schalke 04 · RB Leipzig● 57.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Schalke 04RB LeipzigBaseline
Possession36%57.8%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

FC Schalke 04 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Schalke 04's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Schalke 04 · RB Leipzig18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Schalke 04RB LeipzigBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match18.8 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against17.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Schalke 04 favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Schalke 044 matchesRB Leipzig4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 2.19 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 18.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 6.25 shots/match
36%Possession4/4● 57.8%
3 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.75 corners/match
7.75 fouls/matchFouls4/49.25 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Schalke 04
0Draws
2RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga4–2
FC Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–6

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness41 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Schalke 04RB Leipzig
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headFC Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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