PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.50.75
Expected goals
1.921.35
Shots
17.311.8
Possession
49.5%36%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: 1. FC Köln have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

1. FC Köln have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.5% ●Possession1. FC Köln · FC Schalke 0436%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04Baseline
Possession49.5%36%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

FC Schalke 04 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Schalke 04's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Köln · FC Schalke 0411.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04Baseline
Shots17.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match17.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Schalke 04 in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln4 matchesFC Schalke 044 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1 goal/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.35 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.8 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.25 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession4/436%
6.75 corners/match ●Corners4/43 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/47.75 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Köln
1Draws
0FC Schalke 04
1. FC Köln — FC Schalke 04 · 2. Bundesliga1–0
FC Schalke 04 — 1. FC Köln · 2. Bundesliga1–3
FC Schalke 04 — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga0–0
1. FC Köln — FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — FC Schalke 04
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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