PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.60.8
Expected goals
1.81.35
Shots
17.811.8
Possession
49.2%36%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: 1. FC Köln have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: FC Schalke 04's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

FC Schalke 04 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Schalke 04's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Köln · FC Schalke 0411.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04Baseline
Shots17.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match15.8 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match17.8 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

1. FC Köln have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.2% ●Possession1. FC Köln · FC Schalke 0436%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04Baseline
Possession49.2%36%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · FC Schalke 04 in 2 · 9 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln5 matchesFC Schalke 045 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/41.35 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/411.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/44.25 shots/match
49.2% ●Possession5/436%
6.6 corners/match ●Corners5/43 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/47.75 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Köln
1Draws
0FC Schalke 04
1. FC Köln — FC Schalke 04 · 2. Bundesliga1–0
FC Schalke 04 — 1. FC Köln · 2. Bundesliga1–3
FC Schalke 04 — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga0–0
1. FC Köln — FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — FC Schalke 04
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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