PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.750.5
Expected goals
0.650.91
Shots
11.89.5
Possession
46.8%41.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: hamburger SV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Hamburger SV show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Hamburger SV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Paderborn 07 · Hamburger SV9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC Paderborn 07Hamburger SVBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.5 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against18.8 shots/match18.5 shots/match16.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Paderborn 07 favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hamburger SV in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Paderborn 074 matchesHamburger SV4 matches
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/43.25 goals/match
0.65 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 0.91 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/49.5 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 3.75 shots/match
46.8% ●Possession4/441.5%
4 corners/match ●Corners4/43.75 corners/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/414.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3SC Paderborn 07
2Draws
0Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SV · 2. Bundesliga2–0
Hamburger SV — SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga2–2
SC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SV · 2. Bundesliga1–0
Hamburger SV — SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga1–2
Hamburger SV — SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headSC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required