PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.61
Expected goals
0.890.98
Shots
14.210.6
Possession
47.8%40.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: SC Paderborn 07's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

SC Paderborn 07 have a visible home split

weak

SC Paderborn 07's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14.2 shots/match15.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Paderborn 07 favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Hamburger SV in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Paderborn 075 matchesHamburger SV5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1 goal/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/53 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 0.98 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 3.8 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession5/540.4%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners5/53.6 corners/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3SC Paderborn 07
2Draws
0Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SV · 2. Bundesliga2–0
Hamburger SV — SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga2–2
SC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SV · 2. Bundesliga1–0
Hamburger SV — SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga1–2
Hamburger SV — SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headSC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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