PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
02
Expected goals
0.642.04
Shots
8.6716.3
Possession
44.7%52%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: hamburger SV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Hamburger SV show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Hamburger SV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsHamburger SV · VfB Stuttgart16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHamburger SVVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match16.3 shots/match15.7 shots/match
Shots against18.7 shots/match19.7 shots/match17.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hamburger SV favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hamburger SV3 matchesVfB Stuttgart3 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
4 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 2.67 goals/match
0.64 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.04 xG/match
8.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.67 shots/match
44.7%Possession3/3● 52%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.67 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hamburger SV
0Draws
3VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Hamburger SV · Bundesliga4–0
Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–1
Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–3
VfB Stuttgart — Hamburger SV · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headHamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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