PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
12.67
Expected goals
1.181.7
Shots
11.815
Possession
45.5%50.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: 1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Union Berlin · Borussia Dortmund15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match15 shots/match15.7 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match12 shots/match17.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin4 matchesBorussia Dortmund3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/3▲ 2.67 goals/match
4.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲ 1.7 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots4/3▲ 15 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲ 6 shots/match
45.5%Possession4/3● 50.3%
3 corners/matchCorners4/3● 4.33 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/310.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
4Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–3
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga3–0
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga6–0
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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