PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
12.67
Expected goals
1.181.47
Shots
11.810
Possession
45.5%36.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: 1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Union Berlin · SV 07 Elversberg10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinSV 07 ElversbergBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match10 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match24.7 shots/match16.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.5% ●Possession1. FC Union Berlin · SV 07 Elversberg36.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinSV 07 ElversbergBaseline
Possession45.5%36.7%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SV 07 Elversberg in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin4 matchesSV 07 Elversberg3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/3▲ 2.67 goals/match
4.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲ 1.47 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/310 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲ 5.67 shots/match
45.5% ●Possession4/336.7%
3 corners/matchCorners4/3● 3.67 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/312 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinSV 07 Elversberg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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