PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 SV 07 Elversberg · Bundesliga

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 1–0.

Shots
197
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.510.22
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat SV 07 Elversberg 1–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – SV 07 Elversberg): shots 19–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.51–0.22, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match15.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SV 07 Elversberg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV 07 Elversberg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Union Berlin · SV 07 Elversberg9.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinSV 07 ElversbergBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match9.6 shots/match15.8 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match21.2 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shots1. FC Union Berlin 19 shots, SV 07 Elversberg 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shots1. FC Union Berlin 7 shots, SV 07 Elversberg 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.22 xG1. FC Union Berlin 1.51 xG, SV 07 Elversberg 0.22 xG
  • Possession43%57%1. FC Union Berlin 43%, SV 07 Elversberg 57%
  • Corners7 corners3 corners1. FC Union Berlin 7 corners, SV 07 Elversberg 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 14 fouls, SV 07 Elversberg 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 card1. FC Union Berlin 2 cards, SV 07 Elversberg 1 card
  • Passes325 passes450 passes1. FC Union Berlin 325 passes, SV 07 Elversberg 450 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.2%81.8%1. FC Union Berlin 78.2%, SV 07 Elversberg 81.8%
  • Shots inside box13 shots6 shots1. FC Union Berlin 13 shots, SV 07 Elversberg 6 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks0 blocks1. FC Union Berlin 6 blocks, SV 07 Elversberg 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves5 saves1. FC Union Berlin 2 saves, SV 07 Elversberg 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides7 offsides1. FC Union Berlin 3 offsides, SV 07 Elversberg 7 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Janik HabererYellow card · 1. FC Union Berlin
  2. 21′Tim SkarkeYellow card · 1. FC Union Berlin
  3. Half-time
  4. 81′Livan BurcuGoal · 1. FC Union Berlin
  5. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 59′SV 07 Elversberg · 1 player changeMaurice Krattenmacher
  • 59′1. FC Union Berlin · 1 player changeLivan Burcu
  • 70′SV 07 Elversberg · 1 player changeCole Campbell
  • 71′SV 07 Elversberg · 2 player changesDavid Mokwa · Nicholas Mickelson
  • 78′1. FC Union Berlin · 3 player changesOliver Burke · Mekhi Gray · Christopher Trimmel
  • 86′SV 07 Elversberg · 1 player changeFrederik Schmahl

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

1. FC Union Berlin4-2-3-1
  1. Frederik RønnowG
  2. Felix UduokhaiD
  3. Leopold QuerfeldD
  4. Tom Alexander RotheD
  5. Christopher TrimmelD
  6. Aljoscha KemleinM
  7. Rani KhediraM
  8. Michel AebischerM
  9. Livan BurcuF
  10. Woo-Yeong JeongF
  11. Emmanuel Latte LathF
SV 07 Elversberg4-2-3-1
  1. Nicolas KristofG
  2. Lukas Finn PinckertD
  3. Lasse GüntherD
  4. Jan GyamerahD
  5. Maximilian RohrD
  6. Łukasz PorębaM
  7. Francis OnyekaM
  8. Felix KeidelM
  9. Lukas PetkovF
  10. Cole CampbellF
  11. David MokwaF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · SV 07 Elversberg in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin5 matchesSV 07 Elversberg5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
3.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.12 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
45%Possession5/5● 45.4%
3.8 corners/match ●Corners5/53.6 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinSV 07 Elversberg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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