PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
20.75
Expected goals
1.090.65
Shots
13.811.8
Possession
48.8%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: SC Paderborn 07's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

SC Paderborn 07 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Paderborn 07's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · SC Paderborn 0711.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07Baseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match18.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SC Paderborn 07 in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen4 matchesSC Paderborn 074 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.65 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.8 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession4/446.8%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
1SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 — SV Werder Bremen · 2. Bundesliga3–4
SV Werder Bremen — SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — SC Paderborn 07
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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