PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.670
Expected goals
0.750.63
Shots
11.711.3
Possession
43%51%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: SC Paderborn 07's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

SC Paderborn 07 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Paderborn 07's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · SC Paderborn 0711.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07Baseline
Shots11.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match15.7 shots/match
Shots against17.7 shots/match17.3 shots/match17.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

SC Paderborn 07 have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionSV Werder Bremen · SC Paderborn 07● 51%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07Baseline
Possession43%51%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SC Paderborn 07 in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen3 matchesSC Paderborn 073 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.75 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.63 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots3/311.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/31 shot/match
43%Possession3/3● 51%
4 corners/match ●Corners3/33.33 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
1SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 — SV Werder Bremen · 2. Bundesliga3–4
SV Werder Bremen — SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — SC Paderborn 07
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required